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Daily global market risk forecast
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vs. yesterday
Largest moves since last trading day
Where risk shifted most
The biggest day-over-day changes in forecast risk across all tracked assets. Rising risk in red, easing risk in green.
Risk rising
— turning more dangerous
Risk easing
— calming down
A century of risk
S&P 500 risk and losses, 1928–2026
Each bar is one year: the green-to-blue column shows the range of daily risk within that year; red marks the realised annual loss. Every spike has a name.
The whole world
Global market risk
GDP-weighted risk across every country with stock-market data. Shaded bands mark periods of acute stress.
Five reference assets
Daily risk summary
Today’s reading against its 12-month high and low for the headline markets.
Today
Year max
Year min
Latest market risk forecasts
Eight forecasting methods; Mean is the consensus. Darker cells mean higher risk. Click a row for details.
Show
assets per page
| Symbol | Date | alpha | HS | MA | EWMA | GARCH | tGARCH | EVT | ModelRisk | Mean |
|---|
Lower risk
Higher risk